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August 2, 2023

Fitch Cuts US Rating to AA+

SovereignRatings
Fitch Cuts US Rating to AA+

What Happened

On August 1 Fitch stripped the United States of its AAA rating, citing repeated debt ceiling standoffs and rising debt burdens. The move echoed S&P’s 2011 downgrade and landed just after the Treasury detailed heavier bill issuance.

What It Means

Treasury yields rose and stocks sagged as investors digested more supply and a symbolic hit to the “risk-free” label. While immediate funding costs barely budged, the downgrade spotlighted fiscal drift and the political cycle’s impact on markets.

What I Think

The action changes little mechanically but matters narratively. Foreign reserve managers may shrug, yet higher term premia could linger if deficits stay unchecked. I’m watching auction takedown quality as the true barometer of confidence.

Market Terms

  • Sovereign downgrade to AA+ – Fitch citing debt standoffs and rising burdens.
  • Bill-issuance surge – Heavier Treasury supply hitting the market post-ceiling.
  • Risk-free premium questioned – Symbolic hit to the U.S. credit halo.
  • Auction takedown watch – Monitoring demand quality as term premia drift.

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